Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 314.536641 357.994615 406.952383 466.521401 537.485626 619.870554 723.556900
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 242.906570 296.459156 362.453955 450.977630 568.496848 721.906580 942.021381
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 204.587219 260.779732 334.072476 438.856046 588.541656 800.753928 1136.111282
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 186.188551 246.169492 328.280297 452.386262 641.713890 931.399642 1433.633132
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 168.975056 230.050236 316.994375 454.580658 676.450627 1039.160817 1722.597856
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 152.372830 212.399858 300.611051 445.599250 690.593170 1114.628028 1975.011395
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 141.052975 201.005182 291.782784 446.497439 720.083354 1221.230266 2318.077725
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 129.143754 187.372817 277.733219 436.449239 728.095330 1289.071673 2602.062295
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 120.500271 177.902769 269.137111 434.220730 749.440275 1386.699066 2986.673894
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 109.475009 163.652456 251.255844 413.229441 731.373597 1398.940044 3167.597252
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 106.644323 162.388342 254.862475 431.483657 793.658972 1598.786938 3922.676097
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 105.200194 163.227361 262.049584 457.268609 876.199336 1867.417024 5016.026774
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 99.728203 156.943604 256.341888 457.843321 905.835953 2019.687326 5847.695327
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 92.754815 147.555617 244.222863 444.148085 901.124267 2083.033714 6415.137571
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 86.715432 139.357789 233.565256 432.148005 898.307093 2151.260864 7049.097080
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 84.408712 137.622673 234.829814 445.425998 959.338773 2421.729428 8729.518708
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 80.958569 133.540658 231.203879 447.577344 992.821801 2620.922975 10274.616327
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 76.578674 127.439392 223.114037 438.769257 995.967634 2724.397451 11440.185714
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 73.592626 123.734541 219.463536 439.650154 1025.667179 2928.801239 13397.377304
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 69.747171 118.159705 211.603809 429.794857 1023.576765 3020.580327 14781.965355
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 66.938592 114.396128 207.164351 427.608978 1043.432364 3202.769401 17031.640874
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 62.601426 107.440091 195.632844 407.016473 1005.219104 3146.988855 17464.874602
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 62.048862 107.824939 199.510461 424.924187 1087.929499 3616.539236 22951.327487